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Week 16 Playoff Picture

Posted by ultimatefbexperience on January 22, 2012 at 8:10 PM Comments comments (0)

NFC.    All five playoff teams are settled.  The only unsettled drama is who will be the Central Division champ.  Buffalo and Rural Hall are tied and both favored in their regular season finales.  If both win or both lose, the title goes to Buffalo because of a better record in games played within their division.


Gashouse (6-9)  at  Rural Hall (12-3)  -  Line: 10th AD by 12

Marietta [7-8]  at  Buffalo (12-3)  -  Line: Bills by 7


AFC.    This is a bit more complicated.  The East Division crown and both wild card spots are on the line with this week's games.


Albany (9-6)  at  Florida (2-13)  -  Line: Wolfpack by 3

Fog City (13-2)  at  Spokane (8-7)  -  Line: Sea Dogs by 3

Tampa Bay (9-6)  at  Chantilly (1-14)  -  Black Sheep by 4

Macungie (9-6)  at  Frostburg (10-5)  -  Retrievers by 6


As for the East title, a Frostburg win this week makes the analysis easy.  A Macungie win combined with a Tampa Bay loss would give the division to Frostburg based on having a better division record than Macungie.  A  Macungie win and a Tampa Bay win would create a three way tie, in which case Tampa Bay has the advantage based on best head-to-head record among the three teams (Tampa swept both games against Macungie this year).


Wild Card:  I believe Spokane still has a glimmer of hope to get to the post season. They need Frostburg to win, and Tampa Bay to lose.  If I am reading the NFL tie breaker rules correctly, this scenario would make Albany and Spokane the wild cards.


Any other scenario looks like it probably comes down to conference won-loss records.  Here is how all of those teams currently stand in that category:  Frostburg 8-3,  Tampa Bay 7-4,  Macungie 6-5,  Spokane 6-5,  Albany 5-6.  Albany needs a win and a Tampa Bay loss. 


There are other scenarios but this much already hurts my head puzzling together.  Here are the NFL tiebreaker rules if anyone wants to double check me. 

http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures

2011 UFE General Manager of the Year Award

Posted by ultimatefbexperience on January 21, 2012 at 12:40 PM Comments comments (1)

The NFL end of season player awards provide a fun opportunity to see how UFE executives are doing on the team-building side of the job.  In a somewhat crude but objective measurement attempt, I made up a point system based on the AP and PFWA voting.  All-Pro selections receive 3 points; 2 points for any players named to All-NFC, All-AFC, Second Team All-Pro, and All-Rookie teams; 1 point for additional players recognized by PFW Rookie Meter and a bonus point for offensive and defensive rookies of the year.  Rookies who also were named to the all pro teams received points for both.


In a close race, the 2011 GM of the Year Award goes to ... Mike DiLonardo of the Fog City Sea Dogs.  Special recognition for most points for 2011 rookie draftees goes to Jamie Hunter of Harlow and Jerry Murray of Florida.


Fog City (17) - Elvis Dumervil, Josh Cribbs, Calvin Johnson (AP), Justin Smith (AP), Patrick Willis (AP), London Fletcher, Mike Pouncey (R).

Rural Hall (16) - Ray Rice, Ed Reed, Aaron Rodgers (AP), Carl Nicks (AP), Charles Woodson, Derrick Johnson, Jabaal Sheard (R).

Macungie (16) - Tom Brady, Wes Welker (AP), Vince Wilfork, Jay Ratliff, David Akers (AP), Tyron Smith (R), Ryan Kerrigan (R).

New Jersey (14) - Haloti Ngata (AP), Derrel Revis (AP), Ryan Kalil, Clay Matthews, Geno Atkins, Roy Helu (R).

BB (14) - Victor Cruz, Jimmy Graham, Darren Sproles, John Kuhn, Richard Seymour, Kyle Rudolph (R), Adrian Clayborn (R-1), Greg Little (R-1).

Hudson County (12) - Marshal Yanda, Joe Thomas (AP), Brian Cushing, Shane Lechler, Demarcus Ware (AP).

Steele Creek (12) - Maurkice Pouncey (AP), Von Miller (R and All-NFC), Carlos Rogers, Vonte Leach (AP).

Frostburg (12) - Joe McKnight (AP), Earl Thomas, Logan Mankins, Tamba Hali, Julio Jones (R), Brooks Reed (R-1).

Spokane (11) - Rob Gronkowski (AP), Andy Lee (AP), Larry Fitzgerald, DeMarco Murray (R), Andy Dalton (R-1).

Florida (11) - Dashon Goldson, Patrick Peterson (R at both CB and PR, AP at PR).

Tampa Bay (10) - Marshawn Lynch, Jason Peters (AP), Jason Pierre-Paul (AP), Phil Taylor (R).

Buffalo (10) - Leshon McCoy (AP), Novarro Bowman, Jasis Babin, Cam Newton (R*).

Marietta (10) - Maurice Jones-Drew (AP), Mike Wallace, Terrell Suggs (AP), Sebastian Janikowski.

Lenox Hill [8] - Brian Waters, Jahri Evans, Devin Hester, Muhammad Wilkerson (R-1).

Gashouse (7) - Jonathan Joseph (AP), Nick Mangold, Chris Conte (R) (and 19th pick of the 6th round).

Canton (7) - Duane Brown, Andre Carter, Eric Weddle (AP).

Harlow (6) - Stefen Wisniewski (R), Danny Watkins (R), Richard Sherman (R) (and 25th pick of the 7th round).

San Pedro (6) - Jared Allen (AP), Arien Foster, Torrey Smith (R-1).

Allendale (6) - Troy Polamalu (AP), JJ Watt (R), Karl Klug (R-1) (and 2nd pick of the 7th round).

Sheraden (5) - Joe Staley, Aldon Smith (R*).

Etna (4) - AJ Green (R), Randal Cobb (R).

Chantilly (2) - Drew Brees.

Albany (2) - Marcel Dareus (R).

Portland (2) - Matt Bosher (R).

2011 Home Stretch Playoff Picture

Posted by ultimatefbexperience on December 29, 2011 at 9:00 AM Comments comments (0)

      With just one-quarter of the 2011 season left to be played, there are sixteen teams with a chance to land one of the ten league playoff spots. Let's take a look at how it will play out.


NFC East.   After a 3-4 start, Hudson County (7-6) had won four of five to sneak up to a game behind Lenox Hill (8-4) going into this week's action.  Even though Lenox has lost two in a row, Hudson's close loss to BB this week means they are going to need help from Harlow or Etna to overtake the Hitmen.  These teams face off in week 15, a must-win for Hudson especially since Lenox won their first meeting.


NFC Central.   Buffalo (10-2) has a delicate hold on the top spot right now but faces an interesting test against New Jersey this week.  The Jawbreakers are sure to be up for this contest after suffering their first loss last week to Rural Hall (9-3).  Should the Bills lose, they still have a slight advantage over the 10th AD due to a better overall record within their division, thanks to Marietta (6-6) knocking off Rural Hall back in week 5.  Buffalo and Rural Hall have already split their two head to head contests.  Since both will surely be solid favorites in all their remaining games, the Central title could well come down to the division record tiebreaker.


NFC West.   With a three game lead and a sweep of their head-to-head games, San Pedro (10-2) would have to completely collapse in order for BB (7-5) to continue their string of four straight West Division crowns.


NFC Wildcard.   The runner-up in the Central Division battle is likely to secure the first wild card spot.  The second will come down to a battle between BB (8-5), Hudson (7-6), Marietta (6-6) and Gashouse (5-7).  BB should be the front runner because they have the easiest schedule down the stretch.


AFC East.   This race is too close to call.  Current leader Tampa Bay (8-4) has challenging games remaining against Fog City and Albany, as well as a head-to-head match against second place Frostburg (8-5) in week 15.  The Black Sheep won the first contest between those teams, 28-27.  Macungie (7-5) has the easiest remaining schedule but needs to overcome a disadvantage in the head-to-head matchups, having already lost two to Tampa and one to Frostburg.


AFC Central.   Fog City (10-2) is on an eight game roll and has climbed to #2 in the all important Action power rankings.  While they might look fairly secure to lock down the division banner for the fourth straight time, Albany (8-5) and Spokane (7-5) are still in position to make it interesting.  All three teams face opponents with winning records in all but one of their remaining games.


AFC West.   With the division title clinched and a perfect season out of the picture, there will be no distractions in New Jersey (11-1) about resting starters, etc.  But can Coach Scott keep his squad sharp and focused for the playoffs?


AFC Wildcard.   It's a big tangled mess right now, but the East and Central division teams are going to get to know each other pretty well over the final four weeks so stay tuned for these key matchups: 

Week 13:  Tampa Bay at Fog City

Week 14:  Albany at Tampa Bay,  Spokane at Frostburg,  Macungie at Fog City

Week 15:  Frostburg at Tampa Bay,  Spokane at Albany

Week 16:  Macungie at Frostburg,  Fog City at Spokane

2011 Draft: Whose Scouts are Getting Bonuses?

Posted by ultimatefbexperience on November 16, 2011 at 9:05 PM Comments comments (1)

First off, if you haven't done so already, you might want to take a look at the box score from San Pedro at Buffalo, last week's game of the week.  Buffalo wins 35-34 and the final quarter looks like it had to be insane for both coaches. Down 24-21 with 8:35 to play and facing 4th and 7 from his own 14 yard line, Coach Bill, in what might be described as unconventional strategy, goes for it and and fails to convert when Josh Freeman's pass to Jeremy Maclin falls incomplete. Two plays later Danny Woodhead scores his third TD of the game to stretch the Bums lead to 10. The Bills are undaunted however, and march 78 yards on their next drive, finishing it with a Freeman to Kenny Britt TD pass with 4:35 to play.  Bums' KR Brad Smith returns the ensuing kick  to the Buffalo 20, but San Pedro cannot make a first down and settles for a field goal making the lead 6 with 2:27 to play.  The Bills' final possession starts from their own 14 but a 62 yard Nate Washington catch and run has them sniffing the red zone. Three plays later, fourth and one from the San Pedro 13, the Beach Bum D sells out playing for a run, but Freeman hits Maclin in the flat and he scampers to the end zone.  When Manning could not work any magic in the final 31 seconds it was a final.  The two teams combined to score 31 points in the final quarter.  Newly acquired Jamaal Charles rushed for 105 yards but Josh Freeman earned the MVP honors with 249 yards and 4 TD's passing.


This week's UFE schedule is a bit light on marquee matchups, and since the real life NFL'ers are just over halfway through their season, it's a good time to check out how the 2011 rookies are faring in order to predict which UFE teams' scouting staffs might see a little extra Christmas bonus in their stocking this year. The following are the top ten players on Pro Football Weekly's current Rookie of the Year list:


Von Miller (LB)  -  Steele Creek, pick 1.4    Eight sacks to lead all rookies.

Cam Newton (QB)  -  Buffalo, pick 1.1.    Josh Freeman for a 2nd round pick anyone?

Andy Dalton (QB)  -  Spokane, 2.9.    Joe Flacco looking over his shoulder.

AJ Green (WR)  -  Etna, 1.3.    Big Ben's pleas for WR help are answered.

DeMarco Murray (RB)  -  Spokane, 4.8.    Everyone but Frank can now kick themselves at least 3 times.

Ryan Kerrigan (LB)  -  Macungie, 2.7.   Has been about the only dependable player on the Redskins; can he get all their rating points?

Aldon Smith (LB)  -  Sheraden, 1.6.    Will be welcome addition to a Mustangs' D that is giving up 2nd most yards per game.

JJ Watt (DE)  -  Allendale, 1.12.    Ditto. Falcons have allowed the most points in the UFE so far this year.

Marcell Darius (DL)  -  Albany, 1.7.    The Wolfpack is building an impressive stable of D-linemen.

Julio Jones (WR)  -  Frostburg, 1.11.    C'mon Julio, stay healthy!


PFW cites the following players for honorable mention:


Mason Foster (LB)  -  Lenox Hill, 4.29.

Karl Klug (DL)  -  Allendale, 7.12.

Greg Little (WR)  -  BB, 2.1.

Denarious Moore (WR)  -  Tampa Bay, 6.18.

Patrick Peterson (CB)  -  Florida, 1.2.

Brooks Reed (LB)  -  Frostburg, 2.11

Torrey Smith (WR)  -  San Pedro, 3.1.

Phil Taylor (DT)  -  Tampa Bay, 2.2.

Muhammad Wilkerson (DE)  -  Lenox Hill, 2.14.


On the discouraging side of things, a few highly touted rookies have had their UFE careers get off to slow starts due to injuries:


Ras-I Dowling (CB)  -  Etna, 2.3.    Volcanos' secondary takes a double hit with loss of 2nd yr safety Eric Berry.

Ryan Williams (RB)  -  Allendale, 2.13.    Falcons should be ok with Ahmad Bradshaw and Michael Bush.

Prince Amukamara (CB)  -  Lenox Hill, 1.14.   You hate to miss on a first round corner.

Leonard Hankerson (WR)  -  San Pedro, 2.21.    Has breakout 100+ yd receiving game before getting hurt last week.


Week 7 Games of the Week

Posted by ultimatefbexperience on November 5, 2011 at 10:15 AM Comments comments (1)

      We are six weeks into the 2011 season and some interesting division races are taking shape. Two up and coming NFC teams demonstrated that they are ready to challenge the traditional powerhouses by making a flurry of trade deadline moves. San Pedro upgraded their O-line and secondary by acquiring center Alex Mack and safety Yeremiah Bell. Meanwhile Buffalo added running back Jamaal Charles to create an imposing backfield tandem with LeSean McCoy. Charles is the current league leader in rushing yards and McCoy is 7th. Coincidentally, those two teams face off this week to top the week 7 games of the week.

 

San Pedro (5-1) at Buffalo (4-2).  After a heartbreaking last second loss to Harlow last week, Buffalo needs this one in order to stay within reach of division leader Rural Hall. San Pedro is also coming off a loss, their first of the year. They had been allowing slightly over 7 points a game through the first 5 weeks, but last week Aaron Rodgers and the 10th AD lit them up for 38.

 

BB (4-2) at Rural Hall (5-1).  The Bombers start a brutal stretch of games that could make or break their season. Over the next five weeks they have this game followed by contests with Buffalo, Canton, San Pedro and Frostburg.

 

Frostburg (4-2) at Sheraden (4-2).  Sheraden has won 4 in a row, but trading away Charles for a package that includes two first round draft picks might be an indicator that the Mustangs' front office is looking at a long term team building strategy to challenge the Jawbreakers in the West.

2011 Season Preview - The Party's in the Hall

Posted by ultimatefbexperience on October 10, 2011 at 9:00 AM Comments comments (0)

The experts in Vegas have fed the data into their sophisticated computer modeling machines and have come up with highly dubious predictions for how the eighth season in UFE history will turn out. With apologies to Rural Hall for jinxing what would be their first ever title, here are the projected results, with regular season victory totals in parenthesis.

NFC East:  Hudson County (14), Lenox Hill (7), Canton (7), Etna (3)

NFC Central:  Rural Hall (15), Buffalo (14), Marietta (10), Gashouse (7)

NFC West:  San Pedro (14), BB (10), Portland (7), Harlow (3)

AFC East:  Tampa Bay (10), Macungie (9), Frostburg (9), Chantilly (7)

AFC Central:  Fog City (13), Albany (7), Spokane (3), Florida (3)

AFC West:  New Jersey (13), Allendale (7), Sheraden (5), Steele Creek (5)

NFC Championship:  Rural Hall over Hudson County

AFC Championship: Tampa Bay over New Jersey (upset special)

UFE Bowl VIII:  Rural Hall - 23, Tampa Bay - 17

Season MVP's:  Arian Foster (San Pedro) and Ed Reed (Rural Hall)

2010 Season: Won-Loss Items Worth Noting

Posted by ultimatefbexperience on January 31, 2011 at 10:17 PM Comments comments (0)

       The conclusion of the 2010 season marks the seventh year of the UFE league's existence, and with that, some interesting team won-loss milestones deserve recognition.

 

-  New Jersey's perfect 16-0 record marks only the second time in league history that feat has been accomplished. Lenox Hill was perfect in 2006, capping their season with the UFE Bowl III trophy.

 

-  Two teams whose owners have been around since the beginning won their first division titles this year.  Rural Hall has posted winning records the last five seasons but 2010 was the first time they finished in first place, doing so with an impressive 15-1 record.  Meanwhile, the Canton Bulldogs represent the epitome of persistence, having finished in 2nd place five times in the previous six years of the league's existence. This year they finally made it to the top.

 

-  The Lenox Hill Hitmen deserve all of the recognition they have received over the years. Three titles and only ten regular season losses in six seasons. They certainly qualify as a UFE dynasty. So in no way do I intend any disparagement by noting that, despite their 10-6 record this year, this is the first season in UFE history that the Hitmen were not in the playoffs.

 

-  Two teams have developed divisional dynasties: The Fog City Seadogs have now won three straight AFC Central division titles. And the BB Bombers, while given a run for their money this season by San Pedro, have now won four straight NFC West crowns.


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